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Tumblr, Blog, and Com: natsdorf thenatsdorf:“What what…whaaaaat is happening?” No será el héroe que necesitamos pero sí el que tendremos.
Tumblr, Blog, and Com: natsdorf
thenatsdorf:“What what…whaaaaat is happening?”

No será el héroe que necesitamos pero sí el que tendremos.

thenatsdorf:“What what…whaaaaat is happening?” No será el héroe que necesitamos pero sí el que tendremos.

Fire, Logic, and Moms: marzipanandminutiae reading letters from 1818 is wild "it's that time of the year when I get colds for no apparent reason again" have some Clairitin hon marzipanandminutiae But also we're not becoming allergic to everything nowadays like certain white moms fear. Allergies have always existed. They were just talked about differently Like "oh clams always turn my stomach-". Or "what a pity he was taken from us at age 5" rosslynpaladin "Well we didn't have all this fancy chronic illness stuff in the Olden Days, what did people do then??" They died, Ashleigh rowantheexplorer This is a picture tracking bullet holes on Allied planes that encountered Nazi anti-aircraft fire in WW2 At first, the military wanted to reinforce those areas, because obviously that's where the ground crews observed the most damage on returning planes. Until Hungarian-born Jewish mathematician Abraham Wald pointed out that this was the damage on the planes that made it home, and the Allies should armor the areas where there are no dots at all, because those are the places where the planes won't survive when hit. This phenomenon is called survivorship bias, a logic error where you focus on things that survived when you should really be looking at things that didn't. We have higher rates of mental illness now? Maybe that's because we've stopped killing people for being "possessed" or "witches." Higher rate of allergies? Anaphylaxis kills, and does so really fast if you don't know what's happening. Higher claims of rape? Maybe victims are less afraid of coming forward. These problems were all happening before, but now we've reinforced the medical and social structures needed to help these people survive. And we still have a long way to go. Source: marzipanandminutiae 80,557 notes Survivorship bias
Fire, Logic, and Moms: marzipanandminutiae
 reading letters from 1818 is wild
 "it's that time of the year when I get colds
 for no apparent reason again" have some
 Clairitin hon
 marzipanandminutiae
 But also we're not becoming allergic to
 everything nowadays like certain white
 moms fear. Allergies have always existed.
 They were just talked about differently
 Like "oh clams always turn my stomach-".
 Or "what a pity he was taken from us at age
 5"
 rosslynpaladin
 "Well we didn't have all this fancy chronic
 illness stuff in the Olden Days, what did
 people do then??"
 They died, Ashleigh
 rowantheexplorer
 This is a picture tracking bullet holes
 on Allied planes that encountered Nazi
 anti-aircraft fire in WW2
 At first, the military wanted to reinforce
 those areas, because obviously that's
 where the ground crews observed the
 most damage on returning planes. Until
 Hungarian-born Jewish mathematician
 Abraham Wald pointed out that this was
 the damage on the planes that made it
 home, and the Allies should armor the areas
 where there are no dots at all, because
 those are the places where the planes won't
 survive when hit. This phenomenon is called
 survivorship bias, a logic error where you
 focus on things that survived when you
 should really be looking at things that didn't.
 We have higher rates of mental illness now?
 Maybe that's because we've stopped killing
 people for being "possessed" or "witches."
 Higher rate of allergies? Anaphylaxis kills,
 and does so really fast if you don't know
 what's happening. Higher claims of rape?
 Maybe victims are less afraid of coming
 forward. These problems were all happening
 before, but now we've reinforced the medical
 and social structures needed to help these
 people survive. And we still have a long way
 to go.
 Source: marzipanandminutiae
 80,557 notes
Survivorship bias

Survivorship bias

Being Alone, America, and Internet: Barack Obama @BarackObama Michelle and I grieve with all the families in El Paso and Dayton who endured these latest mass shootings. Even if details are still emerging, there are a few things we already know to be true. First, no other nation on Earth comes close to experiencing the frequency of mass shootings that we see in the United States. No other developed nation tolerates the levels of gun violence that we do. Every time this happens, we're told that tougher gun laws won't stop all murders; that they won't stop every deranged individual from getting a weapon and shooting innocent people in public places. But the evidence shows that they can stop some killings. They can save some families from heartbreak. We are not helpless here. And until all of us stand up and insist on holding public officials accountable for changing our gun laws, these tragedies will keep happening Second, while the motivations behind these shootings may not yet be fully known, there are indications that the El Paso shooting follows a dangerous trend: troubled individuals who embrace racist ideologies and see themselves obligated to act violently to preserve white supremacy. Like the followers of ISIS and other foreign terrorist organizations, these individuals may act alone, but they've been radicalized by white nationalist websites that proliferate agencies and internet platforms need to come up with better strategies to reduce the influence of these hate groups on the internet. That means that both law enforcement But just as important, all of us have to send a clarion call and behave with the values of tolerance and diversity that should be the hallmark of our democracy. We should soundly reject language coming out of the mouths of any of our leaders that feeds a climate of fear and hatred or normalizes racist sentiments; leaders who demonize those who don't look like us, or suggest that other people, including immigrants, threaten our way of life, or refer to other people as sub-human, or imply that America belongs to just one certain type of people. Such language isn't new it's been at the root of most human tragedy throughout history, here in America and around the world. It is at the root of slavery and Jim Crow, the Holocaust, the genocide in Rwanda and ethnic cleansing in the Balkans. It has no place in our politics and our public life. And it's time for the overwhelming majority of Americans of goodwill, of every race and faith and political party, to say as much clearly and unequivocally. 3:01 PM 8/5/19 Twitter for iPhone 5,046 Retweets 14.6K Likes Eloquently said. I miss a POTUS like this 😢
Being Alone, America, and Internet: Barack Obama
 @BarackObama
 Michelle and I grieve with all the families in El Paso and Dayton who endured these latest
 mass shootings. Even if details are still emerging, there are a few things we already know
 to be true.
 First, no other nation on Earth comes close to experiencing the frequency of mass
 shootings that we see in the United States. No other developed nation tolerates the
 levels of gun violence that we do. Every time this happens, we're told that tougher gun
 laws won't stop all murders; that they won't stop every deranged individual from getting
 a weapon and shooting innocent people in public places. But the evidence shows that
 they can stop some killings. They can save some families from heartbreak. We are not
 helpless here. And until all of us stand up and insist on holding public officials
 accountable for changing our gun laws, these tragedies will keep happening
 Second, while the motivations behind these shootings may not yet be fully known, there
 are indications that the El Paso shooting follows a dangerous trend: troubled individuals
 who embrace racist ideologies and see themselves obligated to act violently to preserve
 white supremacy. Like the followers of ISIS and other foreign terrorist organizations,
 these individuals may act alone, but they've been radicalized by white nationalist
 websites that proliferate
 agencies and internet platforms need to come up with better strategies to reduce the
 influence of these hate groups
 on the internet. That means that both law enforcement
 But just as important, all of us have to send a clarion call and behave with the values of
 tolerance and diversity that should be the hallmark of our democracy. We should soundly
 reject language coming out of the mouths of any of our leaders that feeds a climate of
 fear and hatred or normalizes racist sentiments; leaders who demonize those who don't
 look like us, or suggest that other people, including immigrants, threaten our way of life,
 or refer to other people as sub-human, or imply that America belongs to just one certain
 type of people. Such language isn't new it's been at the root of most human tragedy
 throughout history, here in America and around the world. It is at the root of slavery and
 Jim Crow, the Holocaust, the genocide in Rwanda and ethnic cleansing in the Balkans. It
 has no
 place in our politics and our public life. And it's time for the overwhelming
 majority of Americans of goodwill, of every race and faith and political party, to say as
 much clearly and unequivocally.
 3:01 PM 8/5/19 Twitter for iPhone
 5,046 Retweets 14.6K Likes
Eloquently said. I miss a POTUS like this 😢

Eloquently said. I miss a POTUS like this 😢

Being Alone, America, and Internet: Barack Obama @BarackObama Michelle and I grieve with all the families in El Paso and Dayton who endured these latest mass shootings. Even if details are still emerging, there are a few things we already know to be true. First, no other nation on Earth comes close to experiencing the frequency of mass shootings that we see in the United States. No other developed nation tolerates the levels of gun violence that we do. Every time this happens, we're told that tougher gun laws won't stop all murders; that they won't stop every deranged individual from getting a weapon and shooting innocent people in public places. But the evidence shows that they can stop some killings. They can save some families from heartbreak. We are not helpless here. And until all of us stand up and insist on holding public officials accountable for changing our gun laws, these tragedies will keep happening Second, while the motivations behind these shootings may not yet be fully known, there are indications that the El Paso shooting follows a dangerous trend: troubled individuals who embrace racist ideologies and see themselves obligated to act violently to preserve white supremacy. Like the followers of ISIS and other foreign terrorist organizations, these individuals may act alone, but they've been radicalized by white nationalist websites that proliferate agencies and internet platforms need to come up with better strategies to reduce the influence of these hate groups on the internet. That means that both law enforcement But just as important, all of us have to send a clarion call and behave with the values of tolerance and diversity that should be the hallmark of our democracy. We should soundly reject language coming out of the mouths of any of our leaders that feeds a climate of fear and hatred or normalizes racist sentiments; leaders who demonize those who don't look like us, or suggest that other people, including immigrants, threaten our way of life, or refer to other people as sub-human, or imply that America belongs to just one certain type of people. Such language isn't new it's been at the root of most human tragedy throughout history, here in America and around the world. It is at the root of slavery and Jim Crow, the Holocaust, the genocide in Rwanda and ethnic cleansing in the Balkans. It has no place in our politics and our public life. And it's time for the overwhelming majority of Americans of goodwill, of every race and faith and political party, to say as much clearly and unequivocally. 3:01 PM 8/5/19 Twitter for iPhone 5,046 Retweets 14.6K Likes Eloquently said. I miss a POTUS like this 😢
Being Alone, America, and Internet: Barack Obama
 @BarackObama
 Michelle and I grieve with all the families in El Paso and Dayton who endured these latest
 mass shootings. Even if details are still emerging, there are a few things we already know
 to be true.
 First, no other nation on Earth comes close to experiencing the frequency of mass
 shootings that we see in the United States. No other developed nation tolerates the
 levels of gun violence that we do. Every time this happens, we're told that tougher gun
 laws won't stop all murders; that they won't stop every deranged individual from getting
 a weapon and shooting innocent people in public places. But the evidence shows that
 they can stop some killings. They can save some families from heartbreak. We are not
 helpless here. And until all of us stand up and insist on holding public officials
 accountable for changing our gun laws, these tragedies will keep happening
 Second, while the motivations behind these shootings may not yet be fully known, there
 are indications that the El Paso shooting follows a dangerous trend: troubled individuals
 who embrace racist ideologies and see themselves obligated to act violently to preserve
 white supremacy. Like the followers of ISIS and other foreign terrorist organizations,
 these individuals may act alone, but they've been radicalized by white nationalist
 websites that proliferate
 agencies and internet platforms need to come up with better strategies to reduce the
 influence of these hate groups
 on the internet. That means that both law enforcement
 But just as important, all of us have to send a clarion call and behave with the values of
 tolerance and diversity that should be the hallmark of our democracy. We should soundly
 reject language coming out of the mouths of any of our leaders that feeds a climate of
 fear and hatred or normalizes racist sentiments; leaders who demonize those who don't
 look like us, or suggest that other people, including immigrants, threaten our way of life,
 or refer to other people as sub-human, or imply that America belongs to just one certain
 type of people. Such language isn't new it's been at the root of most human tragedy
 throughout history, here in America and around the world. It is at the root of slavery and
 Jim Crow, the Holocaust, the genocide in Rwanda and ethnic cleansing in the Balkans. It
 has no
 place in our politics and our public life. And it's time for the overwhelming
 majority of Americans of goodwill, of every race and faith and political party, to say as
 much clearly and unequivocally.
 3:01 PM 8/5/19 Twitter for iPhone
 5,046 Retweets 14.6K Likes
Eloquently said. I miss a POTUS like this 😢

Eloquently said. I miss a POTUS like this 😢

Bitch, Confused, and Food: Hi Hello hello! Lol what's up? All right enough chitchat, let's put our cards on the table. No, I've never swiped right before. No, none of these pictures are of me. Yes, I've been on the lamb since '09. I need to know if I can trust you I'm so confused Confused? No. Confused was what I was when walked into that bank brandishing my dads smith and wessun at the ripe young age of 16. The world doesn't forgive Chrissy. It's a cold, hard bitch What are you trying to get out of this conversation? 3 things: A. Can you provide asylum? B.can you cook? I am lactose intolerant. C. Do you love me Um I only just met you Listen Chrissy, I took a gamble on you. I need you to pull through or this could mean the end of the road for me. Let's see, do you know morse code? Also, you're going to need an alias. How about Brookfield? WHAT IS HAPPENING I go by the Salamander. am tall and I have black hair and very pale skin. I will be wearing a disguise when we meet. Look for the signal: will sneeze three times. You pretend to take a call. I will leave; you follow me at a reasonable distance. Is this understood, Brookfield? Yes? Excellent. Our rendezvous will be at this time tomorrow. We need to be out of the city by sundown. Can you drive stick? No I cannot This really throws a wrench in our plans, Brookfield. Not to worry, I'll drive, but be prepared to switch seats in the unlikely event that we are stopped by law enforcement. Side note, food should be prepared when we get back to your quarters, before we leave. What are you making? I will remind you, I'm lactose intolerant I'm still really confused. It means I'm allergic to dairy products. Please don't use any of them when preparing the meal. No I know what lactose intolerant means... But what's happening in general It's up to you, I'll eat anything as long as there isn't dairy in it. not about the food... Why are we having this conversation Don't get all philosophical on me, Brookfield. I needi you focused, sharp as a tack. Nimble, like a cat None of this existential mumbo jumbo means anything if we don't pull this off. PULL WHAT OFF Read me
Bitch, Confused, and Food: Hi
 Hello hello!
 Lol what's up?
 All right enough chitchat,
 let's put our cards on the
 table. No, I've never swiped
 right before. No, none of
 these pictures are of me.
 Yes, I've been on the lamb
 since '09.
 I need to know if I can trust
 you
 I'm so confused
 Confused? No. Confused
 was what I was when
 walked into that bank
 brandishing my dads smith
 and wessun at the ripe
 young age of 16.
 The world doesn't forgive
 Chrissy. It's a cold, hard
 bitch
 What are you trying to get
 out of this conversation?
 3 things: A. Can you provide
 asylum? B.can you cook? I
 am lactose intolerant. C. Do
 you love me
 Um I only just met you
 Listen Chrissy, I took a
 gamble on you. I need you
 to pull through or this could
 mean the end of the road
 for me. Let's see, do you
 know morse code?
 Also, you're going to need
 an alias. How about
 Brookfield?
 WHAT IS HAPPENING
 I go by the Salamander.
 am tall and I have black hair
 and very pale skin. I will be
 wearing a disguise when we
 meet. Look for the signal:
 will sneeze three times. You
 pretend to take a call. I will
 leave; you follow me at a
 reasonable distance. Is this
 understood, Brookfield?
 Yes?
 Excellent. Our rendezvous
 will be at this time
 tomorrow. We need to be
 out of the city by sundown.
 Can you drive stick?
 No I cannot
 This really throws a wrench
 in our plans, Brookfield. Not
 to worry, I'll drive, but be
 prepared to switch seats in
 the unlikely event that we
 are stopped by law
 enforcement. Side note,
 food should be prepared
 when we get back to your
 quarters, before we leave.
 What are you making? I will
 remind you, I'm lactose
 intolerant
 I'm still really confused.
 It means I'm allergic to dairy
 products. Please don't use
 any of them when preparing
 the meal.
 No I know what lactose
 intolerant means... But
 what's happening in general
 It's up to you, I'll eat
 anything as long as there
 isn't dairy in it.
 not about the food... Why
 are we having this
 conversation
 Don't get all philosophical
 on me, Brookfield. I needi
 you focused, sharp as a
 tack. Nimble, like a cat
 None of this existential
 mumbo jumbo means
 anything if we don't pull this
 off.
 PULL WHAT OFF
Read me

Read me